13 Nov 2026 · Worthen Arena
Louisville Cardinals at Ball State Cardinals
We have Ball State Cardinals at 13.1% and Louisville Cardinals at 86.9%.
Ratings going in: Ball State 1854, Louisville 2237, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: LOU +6.9 game score against its usual; BALL +4.3 game score against its usual. Net 21 rating points to LOU.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Ball State | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 13.1% | 86.9% |
| Polymarket | 4.5% | 95.5% |
| Kalshi | 4.5% | 95.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Louisville Cardinals WWWW, Ball State Cardinals WL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Louisville Cardinals at Ball State Cardinals?
PodiumOracle's model makes Louisville Cardinals the favourite at 87%, with Ball State Cardinals at 13%. The markets give Louisville Cardinals 95% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 87% favourite still loses 13% of the time.
When and where is Louisville Cardinals at Ball State Cardinals?
13 November 2026, at Worthen Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.