12 Nov 2026 · Stephen C. O'Connell Center
South Florida Bulls at Florida Gators
We have Florida Gators at 74.1% and South Florida Bulls at 25.9%.
Ratings going in: Florida 1977, South Florida 1845, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: USF +4.5 game score against its usual; FLA +1.5 game score against its usual. Net 25 rating points to USF.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Florida | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Polymarket | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Kalshi | 83.0% | 17.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: South Florida Bulls WWL, Florida Gators WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win South Florida Bulls at Florida Gators?
PodiumOracle's model makes Florida Gators the favourite at 74%, with South Florida Bulls at 26%. The markets give Florida Gators 81% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 74% favourite still loses 26% of the time.
When and where is South Florida Bulls at Florida Gators?
12 November 2026, at Stephen C. O'Connell Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.