12 Nov 2026 · Gentile Arena
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Loyola Chicago Ramblers
We have Loyola Chicago Ramblers at 38.6% and Arkansas State Red Wolves at 61.4%.
Ratings going in: Loyola Chicago 1599, Arkansas St 1743, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: ARST +1.6 game score against its usual; LUC +0.2 game score against its usual. Net 12 rating points to ARST.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Loyola Chicago | Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Polymarket | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Kalshi | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Arkansas State Red Wolves LL, Loyola Chicago Ramblers WL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Arkansas State Red Wolves at Loyola Chicago Ramblers?
PodiumOracle's model makes Arkansas State Red Wolves the favourite at 61%, with Loyola Chicago Ramblers at 39%. The markets give Arkansas State Red Wolves 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 61% favourite still loses 39% of the time.
When and where is Arkansas State Red Wolves at Loyola Chicago Ramblers?
12 November 2026, at Gentile Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.