14 Nov 2026 · Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium
Oregon Ducks at Maine Black Bears
We have Maine Black Bears at 13.9% and Oregon Ducks at 86.1%.
Ratings going in: Maine 1706, Oregon 2092, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: ORE +4.1 game score against its usual; ME +3.3 game score against its usual. Net 6 rating points to ORE.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Maine | Oregon |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Polymarket | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Kalshi | 15.0% | 85.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Oregon Ducks WWLW, Maine Black Bears WW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Oregon Ducks at Maine Black Bears?
PodiumOracle's model makes Oregon Ducks the favourite at 86%, with Maine Black Bears at 14%. The markets give Oregon Ducks 91% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 86% favourite still loses 14% of the time.
When and where is Oregon Ducks at Maine Black Bears?
14 November 2026, at Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.