12 Nov 2026 · Mott Athletics Center
Seattle U Redhawks at Cal Poly Mustangs
We have Cal Poly Mustangs at 57.6% and Seattle U Redhawks at 42.4%.
Ratings going in: Cal Poly 1303, Seattle U 1261, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: SEA +6.6 game score against its usual; CP -1.4 game score against its usual. Net 64 rating points to SEA.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cal Poly | Seattle U |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Polymarket | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Kalshi | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Seattle U Redhawks WWL, Cal Poly Mustangs WWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Seattle U Redhawks at Cal Poly Mustangs?
PodiumOracle's model makes Cal Poly Mustangs the favourite at 58%, with Seattle U Redhawks at 42%. The markets give Cal Poly Mustangs 61% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 58% favourite still loses 42% of the time.
When and where is Seattle U Redhawks at Cal Poly Mustangs?
12 November 2026, at Mott Athletics Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.