14 Nov 2026 · Moody Center
Tarleton State Texans at Texas Longhorns
We have Texas Longhorns at >99% and Tarleton State Texans at <1%.
Ratings going in: Texas 2529, Tarleton St 1496, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: TAR +0.6 game score against its usual; TEX +0.9 game score against its usual. Net 2 rating points to TEX.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Texas | Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|
| The model | >99% | <1% |
| Polymarket | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Kalshi | 99.5% | 0.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tarleton State Texans WL, Texas Longhorns WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Tarleton State Texans at Texas Longhorns?
PodiumOracle's model makes Texas Longhorns the favourite at over 99%, with Tarleton State Texans at under 1%. The markets give Texas Longhorns 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a over 99% favourite still loses under 1% of the time.
When and where is Tarleton State Texans at Texas Longhorns?
14 November 2026, at Moody Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.