12 Nov 2026 · Humphrey Coliseum
Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs
We have Mississippi State Bulldogs at 65.5% and Troy Trojans at 34.5%.
Ratings going in: Mississippi St 1929, Troy 1881, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: TROY +5.9 game score against its usual; MSST +4.4 game score against its usual. Net 12 rating points to TROY.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Mississippi St | Troy |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Polymarket | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| Kalshi | 94.0% | 6.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Troy Trojans WW, Mississippi State Bulldogs WW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs?
PodiumOracle's model makes Mississippi State Bulldogs the favourite at 65%, with Troy Trojans at 35%. The markets give Mississippi State Bulldogs 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 65% favourite still loses 35% of the time.
When and where is Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs?
12 November 2026, at Humphrey Coliseum. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.