13 Nov 2026 · Hilliard Gates Sports Center
Valparaiso Beacons at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
We have Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at 95.0% and Valparaiso Beacons at 5.0%.
Ratings going in: Purdue FW 1598, Valparaiso 1151, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: VAL +3.7 game score against its usual; PFW +2.6 game score against its usual. Net 9 rating points to VAL.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Purdue FW | Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 95.0% | 5.0% |
| Polymarket | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Kalshi | 85.5% | 14.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Valparaiso Beacons LLW, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons LLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Valparaiso Beacons at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons?
PodiumOracle's model makes Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons the favourite at 95%, with Valparaiso Beacons at 5%. The markets give Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 88% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 95% favourite still loses 5% of the time.
When and where is Valparaiso Beacons at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons?
13 November 2026, at Hilliard Gates Sports Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.