12 Nov 2026 · Broadview Arena
Sacramento State Hornets at Buffalo Bulls
We have Buffalo Bulls at 19.4% and Sacramento State Hornets at 80.6%.
Ratings going in: Buffalo 1324, Sacramento St 1676, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: SAC +0.9 game score against its usual; BUF +4.5 game score against its usual. Net 29 rating points to BUF.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Buffalo | Sacramento St |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 19.4% | 80.6% |
| Polymarket | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Kalshi | 21.0% | 79.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Sacramento State Hornets WWW, Buffalo Bulls WL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Sacramento State Hornets at Buffalo Bulls?
PodiumOracle's model makes Sacramento State Hornets the favourite at 81%, with Buffalo Bulls at 19%. The markets give Sacramento State Hornets 75% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 81% favourite still loses 19% of the time.
When and where is Sacramento State Hornets at Buffalo Bulls?
12 November 2026, at Broadview Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.