13 Nov 2026 · Finneran Pavilion
Merrimack Warriors at Villanova Wildcats
We have Villanova Wildcats at 98.1% and Merrimack Warriors at 1.9%.
Ratings going in: Villanova 2038, Merrimack 1467, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: MRMK -0.5 game score against its usual; VILL +4.1 game score against its usual. Net 37 rating points to VILL.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Villanova | Merrimack |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 98.1% | 1.9% |
| Polymarket | 75.6% | 24.3% |
| Kalshi | 99.0% | 1.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Merrimack Warriors LLL, Villanova Wildcats LL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Merrimack Warriors at Villanova Wildcats?
PodiumOracle's model makes Villanova Wildcats the favourite at 98%, with Merrimack Warriors at 2%. The markets give Villanova Wildcats 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 98% favourite still loses 2% of the time.
When and where is Merrimack Warriors at Villanova Wildcats?
13 November 2026, at Finneran Pavilion. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.