12 Nov 2026 · Schar Center
East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Elon Phoenix
We have Elon Phoenix at 50.1% and East Tennessee State Buccaneers at 49.9%.
Ratings going in: Elon 1566, ETSU 1636, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: ETSU +2.0 game score against its usual; ELON +1.5 game score against its usual. Net 4 rating points to ETSU.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Elon | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Polymarket | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Kalshi | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: East Tennessee State Buccaneers WLW, Elon Phoenix WL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Elon Phoenix?
PodiumOracle's model makes Elon Phoenix the favourite at 50%, with East Tennessee State Buccaneers at 50%. The markets give Elon Phoenix 6% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 50% favourite still loses 50% of the time.
When and where is East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Elon Phoenix?
12 November 2026, at Schar Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.