13 Nov 2026 · Stan Sheriff Center
Saint Mary's Gaels at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
We have Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine at 85.2% and Saint Mary's Gaels at 14.8%.
Ratings going in: Hawai'i 1766, Saint Mary's 1525, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: SMC +2.5 game score against its usual; HAW +0.9 game score against its usual. Net 13 rating points to SMC.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Hawai'i | Saint Mary's |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 85.2% | 14.8% |
| Polymarket | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Kalshi | 82.5% | 17.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Saint Mary's Gaels LLW, Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine LL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Saint Mary's Gaels at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine?
PodiumOracle's model makes Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine the favourite at 85%, with Saint Mary's Gaels at 15%. The markets give Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 83% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 85% favourite still loses 15% of the time.
When and where is Saint Mary's Gaels at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine?
13 November 2026, at Stan Sheriff Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.