Big Ten Conference

Michigan State Spartans

Rated 2138 (No. 24 of 363), 3–0 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

32%
Make tournament
11%
Sweet 16
2%
Final Four
<1%
Title game
<1%
Win title
20.3
Projected wins

Rating

Michigan State Spartans is rated 2138, No. 24 of 363. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
11 Nov 2026Oakland Golden Grizzlies at Michigan State Spartans50–9199%

Questions and answers

What is Michigan State Spartans' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Michigan State Spartans are No. 24 of 363 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.