Atlantic Coast Conference
Virginia Cavaliers
Rated 2042 (No. 33 of 363), 4–0 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 52%
- Make tournament
- 13%
- Sweet 16
- 1%
- Final Four
- <1%
- Title game
- <1%
- Win title
- 21.9
- Projected wins
Rating
Virginia Cavaliers is rated 2042, No. 33 of 363. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | Drexel Dragons at Virginia Cavaliers | 39–81 | 94% |
Questions and answers
What is Virginia Cavaliers' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Virginia Cavaliers are No. 33 of 363 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.