13 Nov 2026 · Moody Coliseum (Dallas)
Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs
We have SMU Mustangs at 44.8% and Louisville Cardinals at 55.2%.
Ratings going in: SMU 2140, Louisville 2241, plus 65 for playing at home.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | SMU | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Kalshi | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Louisville Cardinals WWWWW, SMU Mustangs WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2026 | SMU Mustangs at Louisville Cardinals | 28% | 72% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs?
PodiumOracle's model makes Louisville Cardinals the favourite at 55%, with SMU Mustangs at 45%. The markets give Louisville Cardinals 62% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 55% favourite still loses 45% of the time.
When and where is Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs?
13 November 2026, at Moody Coliseum (Dallas). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.