Atlantic Coast Conference
SMU Mustangs
Rated 2140 (No. 8 of 348), 20–4 this season, 3% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 100%
- Make tournament
- 76%
- Regional semifinal
- 46%
- Regional final
- 20%
- Final Four
- 3%
- Win title
- 24.6
- Projected wins
Rating
SMU Mustangs is rated 2140, No. 8 of 348. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs | 55% | 45% |
Questions and answers
What is SMU Mustangs' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
3%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. SMU Mustangs are No. 8 of 348 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do SMU Mustangs play next, and what are their chances?
Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs on 13 November 2026 at Moody Coliseum (Dallas). PodiumOracle's model gives SMU Mustangs 45%.