Week 9 · 10 Nov 2026 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Bills 23 – 6 Vikings · Buffalo Bills won. We had Minnesota Vikings at 47.8% and Buffalo Bills at 52.2%.
Ratings before the game: Vikings 1618, Bills 1653, plus 33 for playing at home.
The betting market (closing moneyline) had Vikings at 37.8%, spread +3.0, total 45.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Vikings | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Polymarket | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Kalshi | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Buffalo Bills WLWWW, Minnesota Vikings WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings?
Buffalo Bills won 23–6 on 10 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Buffalo Bills 52%.