American football · 2026 season

NFL forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Super Bowl odds. Favourite right now: Seattle Seahawks, 25%.

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Chance of winning the Super Bowl

Every team

TeamMake playoffsWin divisionFirst-round byeWin conferenceWin Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks97%70%47%38%25%
Buffalo Bills93%70%36%29%15%
Minnesota Vikings90%66%20%17%9%
San Francisco 49ers82%22%13%11%6%
Philadelphia Eagles85%79%11%12%6%
New England Patriots74%28%11%13%5%
Denver Broncos68%42%8%11%5%
Jacksonville Jaguars74%59%9%10%4%
Kansas City Chiefs72%46%9%9%4%
Los Angeles Rams59%8%3%7%3%