Week 10 · 15 Nov 2026 · Huntington Bank Field
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
We have Cleveland Browns at 37.5% and Houston Texans at 62.5%.
Ratings going in: Browns 1441, Texans 1527, plus 33 for playing at home.
Starting quarterbacks: HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual; CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson). Net 35 rating points to HOU.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 17 km/h (gusts 18), rain 0.1 mm/h.
The betting market (closing moneyline) has Browns at 33.1%, spread +4.5, total 41.5.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Browns | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 32.8% | 67.2% |
| Polymarket | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Kalshi | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Houston Texans LWWLW, Cleveland Browns LWWLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns?
PodiumOracle's model makes Houston Texans the favourite at 63%, with Cleveland Browns at 37%. The markets give Houston Texans 68% on Polymarket, 67% on Kalshi and 67% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 63% favourite still loses 37% of the time.
When and where is Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns?
15 November 2026, at Huntington Bank Field (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.