Week 10 · 15 Nov 2026 · Lambeau Field
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
We have Green Bay Packers at 48.1% and Minnesota Vikings at 51.9%.
Ratings going in: Packers 1567, Vikings 1593, plus 33 for playing at home.
Starting quarterbacks: MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual; GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 20 rating points to MIN.
Weather forecast: 6°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 11).
The betting market (closing moneyline) has Packers at 59.3%, spread -3.0, total 42.5.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Polymarket | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Minnesota Vikings WWWLL, Green Bay Packers WWLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings | 22–39 | 60% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers?
PodiumOracle's model makes Minnesota Vikings the favourite at 52%, with Green Bay Packers at 48%. The markets give Minnesota Vikings 40% on Polymarket, 40% on Kalshi and 40% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 52% favourite still loses 48% of the time.
When and where is Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers?
15 November 2026, at Lambeau Field (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.