Week 10 · 15 Nov 2026 · State Farm Stadium
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
We have Arizona Cardinals at 24.5% and Los Angeles Rams at 75.5%.
Ratings going in: Cardinals 1387, Rams 1590, plus 33 for playing at home.
Starting quarterbacks: LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 25 rating points to LA.
The betting market (closing moneyline) has Cardinals at 21.8%, spread +9.5, total 39.5.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cardinals | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Polymarket | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| Kalshi | 21.0% | 79.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Los Angeles Rams LLWWW, Arizona Cardinals LWLWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | 18–16 | 21% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals?
PodiumOracle's model makes Los Angeles Rams the favourite at 76%, with Arizona Cardinals at 24%. The markets give Los Angeles Rams 80% on Polymarket, 80% on Kalshi and 79% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 76% favourite still loses 24% of the time.
When and where is Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals?
15 November 2026, at State Farm Stadium (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.