Week 10 · 15 Nov 2026 · AT&T Stadium
San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys
We have Dallas Cowboys at 32.0% and San Francisco 49ers at 68.0%.
Ratings going in: Cowboys 1454, 49ers 1610, plus 33 for playing at home.
Starting quarterbacks: SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual; DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual. Net 8 rating points to SF.
The betting market (closing moneyline) has Cowboys at 35.5%, spread +4.5, total 55.5.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cowboys | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Polymarket | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Kalshi | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: San Francisco 49ers WWWLW, Dallas Cowboys LLWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys?
PodiumOracle's model makes San Francisco 49ers the favourite at 68%, with Dallas Cowboys at 32%. The markets give San Francisco 49ers 66% on Polymarket, 66% on Kalshi and 65% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 68% favourite still loses 32% of the time.
When and where is San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys?
15 November 2026, at AT&T Stadium (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.