Week 10 · 16 Nov 2026 · Paycor Stadium
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
We have Cincinnati Bengals at 59.2% and Pittsburgh Steelers at 40.8%.
Ratings going in: Bengals 1564, Steelers 1569, plus 33 for playing at home.
Starting quarterbacks: PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual; CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 37 rating points to CIN.
Weather forecast: 4°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 12).
The betting market (closing moneyline) has Bengals at 61.6%, spread -3.5, total 49.5.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Bengals | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Polymarket | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Kalshi | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Pittsburgh Steelers LWWWW, Cincinnati Bengals LWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers | 27–30 | 51% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals?
PodiumOracle's model makes Cincinnati Bengals the favourite at 59%, with Pittsburgh Steelers at 41%. The markets give Cincinnati Bengals 64% on Polymarket, 64% on Kalshi and 63% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 59% favourite still loses 41% of the time.
When and where is Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals?
16 November 2026, at Paycor Stadium (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.