12 Nov 2026 · T-Mobile Arena
Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights
We have Vegas Golden Knights at 60.5% and Utah Mammoth at 39.5%.
Ratings going in: Golden Knights 1545, Mammoth 1508, plus 35 for playing at home.
Expected starting goalies: UTA (K. Vejmelka) +0.0 goals saved per start against its usual; VGK (A. Hill) +0.1 goals saved per start against its usual. Net 2 rating points to VGK.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Golden Knights | Mammoth |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Polymarket | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Utah Mammoth WLWLL, Vegas Golden Knights LLWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2026 | Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights | 40% | 61% |
| 4 Apr 2027 | Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth | 51% | 49% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights?
PodiumOracle's model makes Vegas Golden Knights the favourite at 61%, with Utah Mammoth at 40%. The markets give Vegas Golden Knights 69% on Polymarket, 55% on Kalshi and 54% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 61% favourite still loses 40% of the time.
When and where is Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights?
12 November 2026, at T-Mobile Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.