Ice hockey · 2026–27 season
NHL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Stanley Cup odds. Favourite right now: Carolina Hurricanes, 25%.
Live and upcoming
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | New York Rangers at Calgary Flames | 3–1 | 51% |
| 12 Nov 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres | 8–3 | 49% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings | 3–0 | 48% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues | 2–3 | 59% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets | 4–1 | 48% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs | 6–3 | 60% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens | 2–1 | 47% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators | 3–2 | 47% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets | 2–4 | 48% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks | 2–3 | 47% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks | 3–1 | 58% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers | 1–3 | 61% |
Chance of winning the Stanley Cup
| Team | Make playoffs | Win division | Second round | Conference final | Stanley Cup Final | Win Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | >99% | 86% | 75% | 56% | 37% | 25% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 95% | 31% | 61% | 37% | 24% | 12% |
| Minnesota Wild | 98% | 46% | 59% | 30% | 18% | 9% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 94% | 42% | 55% | 33% | 16% | 9% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96% | 45% | 62% | 35% | 16% | 7% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 97% | 49% | 60% | 31% | 14% | 6% |
| Dallas Stars | 87% | 15% | 43% | 22% | 12% | 5% |
| Boston Bruins | 88% | 25% | 44% | 21% | 9% | 5% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 85% | 20% | 41% | 20% | 8% | 4% |
| Washington Capitals | 74% | 6% | 38% | 14% | 6% | 3% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Stanley Cup?
Carolina Hurricanes, at 25%, ahead of Colorado Avalanche (12%), Minnesota Wild (9%) and Tampa Bay Lightning (9%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next NHL games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers (12 November 2026): Edmonton Oilers 65%; Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights (12 November 2026): Vegas Golden Knights 61%; Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks (12 November 2026): Anaheim Ducks 54%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's NHL predictions?
On 3,086 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 57% of the time. Its log loss was 0.676, against 0.689 for the base rate and 0.688 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.670 against the bookmakers' 0.662 over 913 games, 0.684 against Polymarket's 0.674 over 1,687 games and 0.683 against Kalshi's 0.672 over 1,769 games (lower is better).
How are the NHL predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Stanley Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.