12 Nov 2026 · SAP Center at San Jose
Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks
We have San Jose Sharks at 46.1% and Pittsburgh Penguins at 53.9%.
Ratings going in: Sharks 1425, Penguins 1490, plus 35 for playing at home.
Expected starting goalies: PIT (A. Silovs) -0.1 goals saved per start against its usual; SJ (Y. Askarov) -0.0 goals saved per start against its usual. Net 2 rating points to SJ.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Sharks | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Polymarket | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Kalshi | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Pittsburgh Penguins LLLWL, San Jose Sharks LLLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2026 | San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins | 36% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks?
PodiumOracle's model makes Pittsburgh Penguins the favourite at 54%, with San Jose Sharks at 46%. The markets give Pittsburgh Penguins 60% on Polymarket, 71% on Kalshi and 57% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 54% favourite still loses 46% of the time.
When and where is Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks?
12 November 2026, at SAP Center at San Jose. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.