13 Nov 2026 · Scotiabank Arena
Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs
We have Toronto Maple Leafs at 40.8% and Minnesota Wild at 59.2%.
Ratings going in: Maple Leafs 1466, Wild 1558, plus 35 for playing at home.
Expected starting goalies: MIN (J. Wallstedt) +0.1 goals saved per start against its usual; TOR (S. Bobrovsky) -0.1 goals saved per start against its usual. Net 8 rating points to MIN.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Maple Leafs | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Polymarket | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Kalshi | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Minnesota Wild WWWLW, Toronto Maple Leafs WLLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2026 | Toronto Maple Leafs at Minnesota Wild | 32% | 68% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs?
PodiumOracle's model makes Minnesota Wild the favourite at 59%, with Toronto Maple Leafs at 41%. The markets give Minnesota Wild 60% on Polymarket, 62% on Kalshi and 61% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 59% favourite still loses 41% of the time.
When and where is Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs?
13 November 2026, at Scotiabank Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.