15 Nov 2026 · PPG Paints Arena
Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins
We have Pittsburgh Penguins at 51.4% and Ottawa Senators at 48.6%.
Ratings going in: Penguins 1490, Senators 1526, plus 35 for playing at home.
Expected starting goalies: OTT (J. Johansson) -0.4 goals saved per start against its usual; PIT (A. Silovs) -0.1 goals saved per start against its usual. Net 11 rating points to PIT.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Penguins | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Polymarket | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Kalshi | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Ottawa Senators WLWWL, Pittsburgh Penguins LLLWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators | 41% | 59% |
| 10 Mar 2027 | Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins | 49% | 51% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins?
PodiumOracle's model makes Pittsburgh Penguins the favourite at 51%, with Ottawa Senators at 49%. The markets give Pittsburgh Penguins 49% on Polymarket and 50% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 51% favourite still loses 49% of the time.
When and where is Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins?
15 November 2026, at PPG Paints Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.