Lacrosse · 2026–27 season
National Lacrosse League forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the NLL Cup odds. Favourite right now: Toronto Rock, 14%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2026 | Saskatchewan Rush at Oshawa FireWolves | 54% | 46% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Halifax Thunderbirds at Rochester Knighthawks | 52% | 48% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | San Diego Seals at Toronto Rock | 39% | 61% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Georgia Swarm at Buffalo Bandits | 45% | 55% |
| 4 Dec 2026 | Calgary Roughnecks at Halifax Thunderbirds | 42% | 58% |
| 6 Dec 2026 | Vancouver Warriors at Saskatchewan Rush | 46% | 55% |
| 6 Dec 2026 | Colorado Mammoth at Las Vegas Desert Dogs | 52% | 48% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Saskatchewan Rush at Toronto Rock | 43% | 57% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Georgia Swarm at Vancouver Warriors | 45% | 56% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Rochester Knighthawks at Las Vegas Desert Dogs | 43% | 57% |
Chance of winning the NLL Cup
| Team | Make playoffs | Top four | Semi-final | Finals | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Rock | 79% | 47% | 44% | 25% | 14% |
| Georgia Swarm | 76% | 43% | 42% | 22% | 12% |
| Vancouver Warriors | 77% | 43% | 41% | 22% | 12% |
| Saskatchewan Rush | 75% | 42% | 40% | 21% | 11% |
| Buffalo Bandits | 77% | 43% | 41% | 21% | 11% |
| Colorado Mammoth | 73% | 38% | 37% | 19% | 10% |
| Halifax Thunderbirds | 68% | 34% | 34% | 17% | 8% |
| San Diego Seals | 62% | 27% | 30% | 14% | 7% |
| Calgary Roughnecks | 60% | 25% | 27% | 12% | 5% |
| Las Vegas Desert Dogs | 55% | 22% | 24% | 10% | 4% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 NLL Cup?
Toronto Rock, at 14%, ahead of Georgia Swarm (12%), Vancouver Warriors (12%) and Saskatchewan Rush (11%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next National Lacrosse League games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Saskatchewan Rush at Oshawa FireWolves (28 November 2026): Saskatchewan Rush 54%; Halifax Thunderbirds at Rochester Knighthawks (29 November 2026): Halifax Thunderbirds 52%; San Diego Seals at Toronto Rock (29 November 2026): Toronto Rock 61%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's National Lacrosse League predictions?
On 275 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2025–26), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 58% of the time. Its log loss was 0.679, against 0.693 for the base rate and 0.694 for recent form.
How are the National Lacrosse League predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the NLL Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.