12 Nov 2026
Austin Championship pres. by Compliance Solutions
Each player's chance from 20,000 simulations of the tournament, using ratings fit only on earlier results.
The field
| Player | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|
| Blades Brown | 5% | 16% |
| Jackson Koivun | 4% | 16% |
| Doug Ghim | 3% | 13% |
| Jordan Smith | 3% | 13% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 3% | 12% |
| Marco Penge | 3% | 10% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 2% | 11% |
| Ben Kohles | 2% | 11% |
| John Parry | 2% | 10% |
| Zach Bauchou | 2% | 9% |
| Rasmus Højgaard | 2% | 8% |
| Séamus Power | 2% | 9% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 2% | 8% |
| Davis Thompson | 2% | 7% |
| Chris Kirk | 2% | 7% |
| Eric Cole | 2% | 7% |
| Rico Hoey | 2% | 7% |
| Mac Meissner | 2% | 7% |
| Ricky Castillo | 1% | 7% |
| Zac Blair | 1% | 7% |
| Thomas Rosenmueller | 1% | 7% |
| Haotong Li | 1% | 6% |
| Kevin Roy | 1% | 6% |
| Max Greyserman | 1% | 6% |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 1% | 6% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 1% | 5% |
| Max McGreevy | 1% | 5% |
| Kevin Yu | 1% | 6% |
| Johnny Keefer | 1% | 5% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 1% | 6% |
| Andrew Putnam | 1% | 6% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 1% | 6% |
| Andrew Novak | 1% | 5% |
| Sami Välimäki | 1% | 5% |
| Nick Taylor | 1% | 5% |
| Jackson Suber | 1% | 6% |
| Austin Eckroat | 1% | 5% |
| David Ford | 1% | 6% |
| Pierceson Coody | 1% | 5% |
| Max Homa | 1% | 5% |
Calendar
- Sony Open in Hawaii 15 Jan 2026, won by Chris Gotterup
- The American Express 22 Jan 2026, won by Scottie Scheffler
- Farmers Insurance Open 29 Jan 2026, won by Justin Rose
- WM Phoenix Open 5 Feb 2026, won by Chris Gotterup
- AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 12 Feb 2026, won by Collin Morikawa
- The Genesis Invitational 19 Feb 2026, won by Jacob Bridgeman
- Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches 26 Feb 2026, won by Nico Echavarria
- Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard 5 Mar 2026, won by Akshay Bhatia
- Puerto Rico Open 5 Mar 2026, won by Ricky Castillo
- THE PLAYERS Championship 12 Mar 2026, won by Cameron Young
- Valspar Championship 19 Mar 2026, won by Matt Fitzpatrick
- Texas Children's Houston Open 26 Mar 2026, won by Gary Woodland
- Valero Texas Open 2 Apr 2026, won by J.J. Spaun
- Masters Tournament 9 Apr 2026, won by Rory McIlroy
- RBC Heritage 16 Apr 2026, won by Matt Fitzpatrick
- Cadillac Championship 30 Apr 2026, won by Cameron Young
- Truist Championship 7 May 2026, won by Kristoffer Reitan
- ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic 7 May 2026, won by Brandt Snedeker
- PGA Championship 14 May 2026, won by Aaron Rai
- THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson 21 May 2026, won by Wyndham Clark
- Charles Schwab Challenge 28 May 2026, won by Russell Henley
- the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday 4 Jun 2026, won by J.T. Poston
- RBC Canadian Open 11 Jun 2026, won by Bud Cauley
- U.S. Open 18 Jun 2026, won by Wyndham Clark
- Travelers Championship 25 Jun 2026, won by Viktor Hovland
- John Deere Classic 2 Jul 2026, won by Chris Gotterup
- Genesis Scottish Open 9 Jul 2026, won by Tom Kim
- ISCO Championship 9 Jul 2026, won by Steven Fisk
- The Open 16 Jul 2026, won by Ryan Fox
- Corales Puntacana Championship 16 Jul 2026, won by Stefano Mazzoli
- 3M Open 23 Jul 2026, won by Jackson Koivun
- Rocket Classic 30 Jul 2026, won by Michael Thorbjornsen
- Wyndham Championship 6 Aug 2026, won by Michael Brennan
- FedEx St. Jude Championship 13 Aug 2026, won by Scottie Scheffler
- BMW Championship 20 Aug 2026, won by Wyndham Clark
- TOUR Championship 27 Aug 2026, won by Scottie Scheffler
- Biltmore Championship Asheville 17 Sep 2026, won by Jacob Bridgeman
- Bank of Utah Championship 1 Oct 2026, won by Austin Smotherman
- Baycurrent Classic 8 Oct 2026, won by Michael Brennan
- Butterfield Bermuda Championship 22 Oct 2026, won by Austin Smotherman
- VidantaWorld Mexico Open 29 Oct 2026, won by Andrew Novak
- World Wide Technology Championship 5 Nov 2026, won by Blades Brown
- Austin Championship pres. by Compliance Solutions 12 Nov 2026
- The RSM Classic 19 Nov 2026
- Hero World Challenge 3 Dec 2026
- PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry 10 Dec 2026
Questions and answers
Who will win the Austin Championship pres. by Compliance Solutions?
Blades Brown is the favourite at 5%, ahead of Jackson Koivun (4%), Doug Ghim (3%) and Jordan Smith (3%), from 20,000 simulations of the tournament with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's PGA Tour predictions?
On 137 tournaments from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, its favourite won 14% of the time in fields of about 120, and it gave the eventual winner 4% on average. Its log loss was 4.303, against 4.715 for treating every player as equal and 4.427 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished events, its log loss was 3.983 against Polymarket's 3.867 over 30 tournaments and 4.148 against Kalshi's 3.972 over 74 tournaments (lower is better).