8 Nov 2026 · Old Trafford
Aston Villa at Manchester United
Aston Villa 4 – 4 Man Utd · Draw. We had Manchester United at 39.5%, a draw at 29.1% and Aston Villa at 31.4%.
Ratings before the game: Man Utd 1630, Aston Villa 1649, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 10).
The betting market (closing odds) had Man Utd at 48.4%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Man Utd | Draw | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 39.5% | 29.1% | 31.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 48.6% | 23.4% | 28.0% |
| Polymarket | 48.3% | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| Kalshi | 48.1% | 24.0% | 27.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Aston Villa WDWWD, Manchester United DDDLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2027 | Manchester United at Aston Villa | 27% | 28% | 45% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Aston Villa at Manchester United?
It was a 4–4 draw on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 29%.