PodiumOracle Premier League

Football · 2026–27 season

Premier League forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Manchester City, 59%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
10 Oct 2026Leeds United at Arsenal74%16%9%
10 Oct 2026Brighton & Hove Albion at Sunderland25%28%47%
10 Oct 2026AFC Bournemouth at Chelsea40%29%31%
10 Oct 2026Brentford at Aston Villa42%29%29%
10 Oct 2026Fulham at Ipswich Town23%27%50%
10 Oct 2026Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United62%23%16%
11 Oct 2026Everton at Hull City26%28%46%
11 Oct 2026Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace38%29%33%
11 Oct 2026Manchester City at Liverpool28%29%43%
12 Oct 2026Newcastle United at Coventry City20%26%55%
17 Oct 2026Chelsea at Everton39%29%32%
17 Oct 2026Hull City at Fulham57%24%18%
17 Oct 2026Ipswich Town at Manchester City88%8%4%
17 Oct 2026Liverpool at Brentford32%29%39%
17 Oct 2026Aston Villa at Newcastle United40%29%31%
18 Oct 2026Manchester United at Leeds United31%29%40%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Manchester United at Fulham1–129%
20 Sep 2026Sunderland at Manchester City3–579%
20 Sep 2026Crystal Palace at Leeds United0–028%
20 Sep 2026Liverpool at AFC Bournemouth1–038%
19 Sep 2026Coventry City at Nottingham Forest1–012%
19 Sep 2026Ipswich Town at Everton0–166%
19 Sep 2026Hull City at Newcastle United1–263%
19 Sep 2026Arsenal at Brighton & Hove Albion0–319%
19 Sep 2026Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur3–242%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop fourTop sixRelegated
Manchester City59%99%>99%0%
Arsenal36%97%99%0%
Liverpool3%60%81%<1%
Brighton & Hove Albion1%39%63%<1%
Brentford<1%20%42%1%
Chelsea<1%13%30%2%
Manchester United<1%19%39%1%
Newcastle United<1%12%29%2%
Aston Villa<1%10%25%2%
Everton<1%8%22%3%