2026-27 English Premier League
Chelsea
Rated 1632 (No. 7 of 20), 5–4–1 this season, <1% to win the title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Win title
- 13%
- Top four
- 40%
- Top six
- <1%
- Relegated
- 57.4
- Projected points
Rating
Chelsea is rated 1632, No. 7 of 20. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2026 | Leeds United at Chelsea | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| 27 Nov 2026 | Chelsea at Nottingham Forest | 34% | 29% | 36% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Chelsea at Sunderland | 0–1 | 25% |
Questions and answers
What is Chelsea's chance of winning the 2026–27 Premier League title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Chelsea is No. 7 of 20 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Chelsea play next, and what are their chances?
Leeds United at Chelsea on 21 November 2026 at Stamford Bridge. PodiumOracle's model gives Chelsea 50%, a draw 27%.