Gallagher Premiership
Bath Rugby
Rated 1574 (No. 3 of 10), 3–2 this season, 17% to win the Premiership title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 69%
- Make semi-finals
- 35%
- Reach final
- 17%
- Win title
- 25.4
- Projected points
Rating
Bath Rugby is rated 1574, No. 3 of 10. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2026 | Bristol Rugby at Bath Rugby | 29% | 3% | 68% |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Bath Rugby at Newcastle Falcons | 71% | 3% | 26% |
| 27 Dec 2026 | Leicester Tigers at Bath Rugby | 37% | 3% | 60% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Sale Sharks at Bath Rugby | 28–36 | 77% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Bath Rugby at Gloucester Rugby | 5–23 | 49% |
Questions and answers
What is Bath Rugby's chance of winning the 2026–27 Premiership title?
17%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Bath Rugby is No. 3 of 10 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Bath Rugby play next, and what are their chances?
Bristol Rugby at Bath Rugby on 4 December 2026 at Recreation Ground. PodiumOracle's model gives Bath Rugby 68%, a draw 3%.