Gallagher Premiership
Newcastle Falcons
Rated 1307 (No. 10 of 10), 1–4 this season, <1% to win the Premiership title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Make semi-finals
- <1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win title
- 12.3
- Projected points
Rating
Newcastle Falcons is rated 1307, No. 10 of 10. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2026 | Newcastle Falcons at Gloucester Rugby | 14% | 2% | 84% |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Bath Rugby at Newcastle Falcons | 71% | 3% | 26% |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Newcastle Falcons at Bristol Rugby | 13% | 2% | 86% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Newcastle Falcons at Saracens | 31–39 | 86% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Sale Sharks at Newcastle Falcons | 3–17 | 36% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Newcastle Falcons at Exeter Chiefs | 28–34 | 85% |
Questions and answers
What is Newcastle Falcons' chance of winning the 2026–27 Premiership title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Newcastle Falcons are No. 10 of 10 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Newcastle Falcons play next, and what are their chances?
Newcastle Falcons at Gloucester Rugby on 5 December 2026 at Kingsholm. PodiumOracle's model gives Newcastle Falcons 14%, a draw 2%.