Cricket · 2026 season over
PSL forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Peshawar Zalmi, 20%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen | Peshawar Zalmi won by 5 wickets | 56% |
| 1 May 2026 | Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmen | Hyderabad Kingsmen won by 2 runs | 49% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Multan Sultans | Hyderabad Kingsmen won by 8 wickets | 50% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Islamabad United vs Peshawar Zalmi | Peshawar Zalmi won by 70 runs | 52% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Rawalpindiz vs Hyderabad Kingsmen | Hyderabad Kingsmen won by 108 runs | 57% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Islamabad United vs Multan Sultans | Islamabad United won by 4 wickets | 52% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Karachi Kings vs Quetta Gladiators | Karachi Kings won by 9 wickets | 50% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Peshawar Zalmi at Lahore Qalandars | Lahore Qalandars won by 6 wickets | 50% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmen | Islamabad United won by 8 wickets | 52% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Rawalpindiz vs Islamabad United | Rawalpindiz won by 6 wickets | 37% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Karachi Kings at Lahore Qalandars | Karachi Kings won by 5 wickets | 37% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Peshawar Zalmi vs Karachi Kings | Peshawar Zalmi won by 7 wickets | 60% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Make play-offs | Top two | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peshawar Zalmi | 60% | 32% | 35% | 20% |
| Hyderabad Kingsmen | 57% | 32% | 30% | 15% |
| Karachi Kings | 54% | 28% | 27% | 13% |
| Multan Sultans | 53% | 27% | 26% | 12% |
| Islamabad United | 49% | 22% | 24% | 12% |
| Lahore Qalandars | 46% | 21% | 22% | 11% |
| Quetta Gladiators | 45% | 22% | 22% | 10% |
| Rawalpindiz | 35% | 15% | 15% | 7% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2027 PSL title?
Peshawar Zalmi, at 20%, ahead of Hyderabad Kingsmen (15%), Karachi Kings (13%) and Multan Sultans (12%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the next season, on last season's schedule with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's PSL predictions?
On 108 games from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 55% of the time. Its log loss was 0.694, against 0.692 for the base rate and 0.688 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.671 against the bookmakers' 0.657 over 42 games, 0.670 against Polymarket's 0.611 over 40 games and 0.660 against Kalshi's 0.659 over 34 games (lower is better).
How are the PSL predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.