Ice hockey · 2026–27 season
PWHL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Walter Cup odds. Favourite right now: Montréal Victoire, 21%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2026 | Seattle Torrent at Vancouver Goldeneyes | 43% | 57% |
| 6 Dec 2026 | Hamilton Havoc at Montréal Victoire | 39% | 61% |
| 6 Dec 2026 | Minnesota Frost at San Jose Sea Lions | 49% | 51% |
| 6 Dec 2026 | Toronto Sceptres at Ottawa Charge | 43% | 57% |
| 6 Dec 2026 | Boston Fleet at New York Sirens | 53% | 47% |
| 7 Dec 2026 | Detroit Clutch at Vegas Vanguards | 46% | 54% |
| 9 Dec 2026 | Hamilton Havoc at Toronto Sceptres | 49% | 51% |
| 10 Dec 2026 | Ottawa Charge at Boston Fleet | 42% | 58% |
| 10 Dec 2026 | Seattle Torrent at San Jose Sea Lions | 41% | 59% |
| 11 Dec 2026 | Minnesota Frost at Vegas Vanguards | 49% | 51% |
| 12 Dec 2026 | New York Sirens at Detroit Clutch | 42% | 58% |
| 12 Dec 2026 | San Jose Sea Lions at Montréal Victoire | 39% | 61% |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Boston Fleet at Toronto Sceptres | 52% | 48% |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Vegas Vanguards at Vancouver Goldeneyes | 48% | 52% |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Ottawa Charge at Hamilton Havoc | 46% | 54% |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Seattle Torrent at Minnesota Frost | 38% | 62% |
Chance of winning the Walter Cup
| Team | Make playoffs | Reach final | Win Walter Cup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montréal Victoire | 58% | 36% | 21% |
| Boston Fleet | 45% | 24% | 13% |
| Minnesota Frost | 44% | 23% | 12% |
| Vegas Vanguards | 33% | 17% | 8% |
| Detroit Clutch | 32% | 16% | 8% |
| Hamilton Havoc | 33% | 16% | 7% |
| Ottawa Charge | 33% | 15% | 7% |
| San Jose Sea Lions | 33% | 15% | 7% |
| Vancouver Goldeneyes | 27% | 12% | 5% |
| Toronto Sceptres | 23% | 10% | 4% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Walter Cup?
Montréal Victoire, at 21%, ahead of Boston Fleet (13%), Minnesota Frost (12%) and Vegas Vanguards (8%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next PWHL games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Seattle Torrent at Vancouver Goldeneyes (5 December 2026): Vancouver Goldeneyes 57%; Hamilton Havoc at Montréal Victoire (6 December 2026): Montréal Victoire 61%; Minnesota Frost at San Jose Sea Lions (6 December 2026): San Jose Sea Lions 51%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's PWHL predictions?
On 133 games from held-back seasons (2025–26), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 59% of the time. Its log loss was 0.667, against 0.681 for the base rate and 0.673 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.656 against the bookmakers' 0.670 over 83 games (lower is better).
How are the PWHL predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Walter Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.