Rugby Championship
New Zealand
Rated 1907 (No. 2 of 4), 4–2 this season.
Rating
New Zealand is rated 1907, No. 2 of 4. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | New Zealand at Australia | 28–14 | 66% |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Australia at New Zealand | 24–33 | 88% |
| 13 Sep 2025 | South Africa at New Zealand | 43–10 | 28% |
| 6 Sep 2025 | South Africa at New Zealand | 17–24 | 62% |
| 23 Aug 2025 | New Zealand at Argentina | 23–29 | 22% |
| 16 Aug 2025 | New Zealand at Argentina | 41–24 | 71% |