Football · 2026–27 season

Serie A forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Internazionale, 72%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
10 Oct 2026Fiorentina at Genoa33%29%38%
10 Oct 2026Parma at Internazionale85%10%5%
10 Oct 2026Frosinone at Napoli74%17%10%
11 Oct 2026AS Roma at Como32%29%39%
11 Oct 2026Bologna at Lecce27%28%45%
11 Oct 2026Monza at Lazio74%16%9%
11 Oct 2026AC Milan at Sassuolo23%27%50%
11 Oct 2026Juventus at Cagliari21%26%53%
12 Oct 2026Venezia at Atalanta79%13%7%
12 Oct 2026Udinese at Torino40%29%31%
16 Oct 2026Sassuolo at Frosinone35%29%36%
17 Oct 2026Napoli at Venezia9%16%75%
17 Oct 2026Internazionale at Bologna14%21%65%
17 Oct 2026Genoa at AS Roma76%15%9%
18 Oct 2026Lecce at Udinese54%26%20%
18 Oct 2026Como at Fiorentina28%29%44%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Lecce at AC Milan0–371%
20 Sep 2026Atalanta at Juventus0–246%
20 Sep 2026Como at Frosinone0–216%
20 Sep 2026Genoa at Parma1–239%
20 Sep 2026Napoli at Fiorentina1–127%
19 Sep 2026Lazio at Venezia2–064%
19 Sep 2026Internazionale at AS Roma2–229%
19 Sep 2026Torino at Bologna1–127%
19 Sep 2026Cagliari at Udinese1–025%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop fourRelegated
Internazionale72%98%0%
AS Roma17%84%0%
Juventus3%47%0%
Napoli3%47%0%
AC Milan2%43%0%
Lazio1%27%0%
Como1%32%<1%
Atalanta<1%16%<1%
Sassuolo<1%1%5%
Frosinone<1%<1%11%