Ice hockey · 2026–27 season
SHL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Le Mat Trophy odds. Favourite right now: Skellefteå AIK, 29%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Luleå Hockey at Brynäs IF | 58% | 42% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Linköping HC at Rögle BK | 65% | 35% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Färjestad BK at Björklöven | 56% | 44% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Frölunda HC at Malmö Redhawks | 47% | 53% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Skellefteå AIK at Örebro Hockey | 41% | 59% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Djurgårdens IF at Timrå IK | 56% | 44% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | HV71 at Växjö Lakers | 64% | 36% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Timrå IK at Brynäs IF | 65% | 35% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | HV71 at Björklöven | 64% | 36% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Luleå Hockey at Skellefteå AIK | 67% | 33% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Växjö Lakers at Björklöven | 57% | 43% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Luleå Hockey at Linköping HC | 51% | 49% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Malmö Redhawks at Skellefteå AIK | 70% | 30% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Brynäs IF at Frölunda HC | 63% | 37% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Färjestad BK at Djurgårdens IF | 49% | 51% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Timrå IK at Rögle BK | 66% | 34% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Örebro Hockey at HV71 | 56% | 44% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Rögle BK at Färjestad BK | 1–2 | 55% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Växjö Lakers at Djurgårdens IF | 3–4 | 50% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Skellefteå AIK at HV71 | 3–4 | 39% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Björklöven at Örebro Hockey | 4–3 | 48% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Frölunda HC at Luleå Hockey | 7–3 | 47% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Brynäs IF at Linköping HC | 9–2 | 47% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Örebro Hockey at Timrå IK | 5–1 | 42% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Färjestad BK at Frölunda HC | 2–3 | 60% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Malmö Redhawks at Växjö Lakers | 3–4 | 60% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Djurgårdens IF at Rögle BK | 1–3 | 65% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rögle BK at Luleå Hockey | 2–4 | 54% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Örebro Hockey at Färjestad BK | 0–7 | 63% |
Chance of winning the Le Mat Trophy
| Team | Make playoffs | Straight to quarter-finals | Quarter-final | Semi-final | Final | Win Le Mat Trophy | Finish last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skellefteå AIK | 98% | 88% | 94% | 68% | 46% | 29% | <1% |
| Frölunda HC | 97% | 83% | 91% | 58% | 34% | 18% | <1% |
| Rögle BK | 84% | 53% | 71% | 37% | 18% | 9% | 2% |
| Färjestad BK | 89% | 63% | 77% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 1% |
| Brynäs IF | 83% | 53% | 69% | 34% | 16% | 7% | 3% |
| Björklöven | 85% | 55% | 71% | 34% | 15% | 7% | 2% |
| Växjö Lakers | 77% | 43% | 61% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 4% |
| Luleå Hockey | 78% | 45% | 62% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
| Malmö Redhawks | 68% | 32% | 49% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 6% |
| Örebro Hockey | 54% | 21% | 36% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 11% |