21 Feb 2026 · Allianz Stadium
Ireland at England
Ireland 42 – 21 England · Ireland won. We had England at 66.1%, a draw at 3.0% and Ireland at 30.8%.
Ratings before the game: England 1964, Ireland 1951, plus 115 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 13°C, wind 16 km/h (gusts 45).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | England | Draw | Ireland |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 66.1% | 3.0% | 30.8% |
| Polymarket | 75.2% | 2.3% | 22.4% |
| Kalshi | 75.5% | 2.5% | 22.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Ireland LW, England WL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Ireland at England?
Ireland won 42–21 on 21 February 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Ireland 31%.