Six Nations
Ireland
Rated 2042 (No. 1 of 6), 4–1 this season, 41% to win the Six Nations title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 41%
- Win the championship
- <1%
- Wooden spoon
- 17.1
- Projected points
Rating
Ireland is rated 2042, No. 1 of 6. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Scotland at Ireland | 21–43 | 82% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Wales at Ireland | 17–27 | 99% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Ireland at England | 42–21 | 31% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Italy at Ireland | 13–20 | 88% |
Questions and answers
What is Ireland's chance of winning the 2027 Six Nations title?
41%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Ireland is No. 1 of 6 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.