Six Nations

Ireland

Rated 2042 (No. 1 of 6), 4–1 this season, 41% to win the Six Nations title.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

41%
Win the championship
<1%
Wooden spoon
17.1
Projected points

Rating

Ireland is rated 2042, No. 1 of 6. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
14 Mar 2026Scotland at Ireland21–4382%
6 Mar 2026Wales at Ireland17–2799%
21 Feb 2026Ireland at England42–2131%
14 Feb 2026Italy at Ireland13–2088%

Questions and answers

What is Ireland's chance of winning the 2027 Six Nations title?

41%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Ireland is No. 1 of 6 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.