7 Mar 2026 · Scottish Gas Murrayfield
France at Scotland
France 40 – 50 Scotland · Scotland won. We had Scotland at 31.7%, a draw at 3.1% and France at 65.2%.
Ratings before the game: Scotland 1812, France 2048, plus 115 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 13 km/h (gusts 32).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Scotland | Draw | France |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 31.7% | 3.1% | 65.2% |
| Polymarket | 20.5% | 1.2% | 78.3% |
| Kalshi | 19.0% | 2.5% | 78.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: France WWW, Scotland LWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won France at Scotland?
Scotland won 50–40 on 7 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Scotland 32%.