Six Nations

France

Rated 2022 (No. 2 of 6), 4–1 this season, 25% to win the Six Nations title.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

25%
Win the championship
<1%
Wooden spoon
15.7
Projected points

Rating

France is rated 2022, No. 2 of 6. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
14 Mar 2026England at France46–4881%
7 Mar 2026France at Scotland40–5032%
22 Feb 2026Italy at France8–3393%
15 Feb 2026France at Wales54–1295%

Questions and answers

What is France's chance of winning the 2027 Six Nations title?

25%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. France is No. 2 of 6 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.