7 Mar 2026 · Stadio Olimpico
England at Italy
England 18 – 23 Italy · Italy won. We had Italy at 36.2%, a draw at 3.3% and England at 60.6%.
Ratings before the game: Italy 1680, England 1881, plus 115 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 14°C, wind 2 km/h (gusts 6), rain 0.3 mm/h.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Italy | Draw | England |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 36.2% | 3.3% | 60.6% |
| Polymarket | 25.7% | 2.1% | 72.2% |
| Kalshi | 27.1% | 2.4% | 70.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: England WLL, Italy WLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won England at Italy?
Italy won 23–18 on 7 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Italy 36%.