Six Nations
Italy
Rated 1518 (No. 6 of 6), 2–3 this season, <1% to win the Six Nations title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Win the championship
- 49%
- Wooden spoon
- 4.8
- Projected points
Rating
Italy is rated 1518, No. 6 of 6. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Italy at Wales | 17–31 | 21% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | England at Italy | 18–23 | 36% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Italy at France | 8–33 | 93% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Italy at Ireland | 13–20 | 88% |
Questions and answers
What is Italy's chance of winning the 2027 Six Nations title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Italy is No. 6 of 6 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.