14 Mar 2026 · Aviva Stadium
Scotland at Ireland
Scotland 21 – 43 Ireland · Ireland won. We had Ireland at 81.8%, a draw at 2.0% and Scotland at 16.2%.
Ratings before the game: Ireland 2034, Scotland 1875, plus 115 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 16 km/h (gusts 36).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Ireland | Draw | Scotland |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 81.8% | 2.0% | 16.2% |
| Polymarket | 66.8% | 2.7% | 30.4% |
| Kalshi | 67.3% | 3.0% | 29.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Scotland LWWW, Ireland LWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Scotland at Ireland?
Ireland won 43–21 on 14 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Ireland 82%.