14 Mar 2026 · Stade de France
England at France
England 46 – 48 France · France won. We had France at 80.9%, a draw at 2.1% and England at 17.1%.
Ratings before the game: France 1985, England 1838, plus 115 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 25°C, wind 13 km/h (gusts 36).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | France | Draw | England |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 80.9% | 2.1% | 17.1% |
| Polymarket | 79.7% | 1.9% | 18.3% |
| Kalshi | 75.1% | 5.5% | 19.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: England WLLL, France WWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won England at France?
France won 48–46 on 14 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave France 81%.