23 May 2026 · North Harbour Stadium
Queensland Reds at Moana Pasifika
Queensland Reds 33 – 31 Moana Pasifika · Queensland Reds won. We had Moana Pasifika at 29.7%, a draw at 3.0% and Queensland Reds at 67.3%.
Ratings before the game: Moana Pasifika 1263, Queensland Reds 1485, plus 85 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 13°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 8).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Moana Pasifika | Draw | Queensland Reds |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 29.7% | 3.0% | 67.3% |
| Polymarket | 9.9% | 4.1% | 86.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Queensland Reds WLWLL, Moana Pasifika LLLLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Queensland Reds at Moana Pasifika?
Queensland Reds won 33–31 on 23 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Queensland Reds 67%.