Rugby union · 2026 season over
Super Rugby Pacific forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Hurricanes, 45%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2026 | Chiefs at Hurricanes | 5–60 | 60% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Blues at Hurricanes | 21–57 | 83% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Crusaders at Chiefs | 12–49 | 66% |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Blues at Crusaders | 31–52 | 77% |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Queensland Reds at Chiefs | 24–46 | 86% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Brumbies at Hurricanes | 12–66 | 82% |
| 30 May 2026 | Moana Pasifika at Brumbies | 21–19 | 8% |
| 30 May 2026 | Blues at Chiefs | 34–59 | 76% |
| 30 May 2026 | New South Wales Waratahs at Western Force | 25–31 | 69% |
| 29 May 2026 | Hurricanes at Crusaders | 14–47 | 43% |
| 29 May 2026 | Fijian Drua at Queensland Reds | 24–45 | 74% |
| 23 May 2026 | Queensland Reds at Moana Pasifika | 33–31 | 67% |
Chance of winning the Super Rugby title
| Team | Make play-offs | Semi-final | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes | 99% | 93% | 70% | 45% |
| Chiefs | 97% | 87% | 57% | 28% |
| Crusaders | 90% | 72% | 36% | 16% |
| Brumbies | 70% | 41% | 12% | 3% |
| Blues | 60% | 30% | 9% | 3% |
| Queensland Reds | 59% | 30% | 7% | 2% |
| Western Force | 55% | 26% | 6% | 2% |
| New South Wales Waratahs | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| Highlanders | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Fijian Drua | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% |